The best replacement for expanding is shrinking.

The best alternatives to expanding are rated as following:
★★★★★  shrinking
★★★★  contracting economy
★★★★  contracting universe
★★★  expounding
★★★  collapsing universe
★★  static universe
★★  contracting
★★  fixed size
★  expending
★  collapsing
★  matter shrinking

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Google Trends

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expanding
shrinking
contracting economy